Virginia Tech football has spent most of the last decade trying to figure out how to get back to being Virginia Tech football. Justin Fuente couldn’t do it. Brent Pry couldn’t do it. Now Virginia Tech has gone out and hired a coach who has actually built a winning Power 4 program before.
James Franklin is the head coach at Virginia Tech. That still feels a little weird to type. Franklin has completely overhauled the roster and coaching staff in one offseason. This is going to be one of the most interesting Virginia Tech teams we’ve seen in a long time because I genuinely don’t know what to expect.
The ceiling is pretty high. The floor could be pretty low. Welcome to Year 1.
Coaching Staff
This season is all about James Franklin.
Virginia Tech didn’t hire Franklin to go 7-5 every year and play in the Military Bowl. They hired him because they believe Virginia Tech can compete at the top of the ACC again.
The biggest thing Franklin brings is credibility. He’s won a lot of football games. He knows how to recruit. He knows how to build a staff. He knows what a major college football operation is supposed to look like.
That doesn’t mean Virginia Tech is immediately going to win 10 games. The roster needed a lot of work after last season and Franklin basically had to rebuild the team in one offseason. There are going to be growing pains.
The most interesting coaching decision was bringing Brent Pry back as defensive coordinator. I don’t think many Virginia Tech fans had “Brent Pry returns to Blacksburg three months after being fired” on their offseason bingo card. But I actually like it. Pry wasn’t a good head coach at Virginia Tech. That doesn’t mean he’s a bad defensive coordinator. Those are two very different jobs. Pry built his reputation coaching defense and now he can go back to doing that without worrying about timeouts, fourth-down decisions, roster management, fundraising, recruiting and everything else that comes with being the head coach.
Maybe this works. Maybe it’s incredibly awkward. Either way, it’s going to be interesting.
Offense
The biggest question on offense is quarterback. And the answer appears to be Ethan Grunkemeyer. Franklin brought Grunkemeyer with him from Penn State, which gives him a major advantage in learning the offense and understanding what Franklin expects from his quarterback. Virginia Tech doesn’t need Grunkemeyer to be Michael Vick. They need him to be good. That’s really it.
For years, Virginia Tech has had offenses where it felt like everything needed to go perfectly to score points. One penalty killed a drive. One sack killed a drive. One dropped pass killed a drive. Good football teams don’t operate that way. Grunkemeyer needs to consistently move the offense, protect the football and get the ball to Virginia Tech’s playmakers. The good news is there should be some talent around him.
Ayden Greene is back at receiver along with Keylen Adams, Chanz Wiggins and Takye Heath. Franklin also added experience through the portal. There are enough pieces here for Virginia Tech to have a respectable passing game. I expect Luke Reynolds to lead this team in receiving from the tight end spot.
The offensive line is probably the bigger concern. Franklin has spent a lot of resources rebuilding that room, including signing a huge group of offensive linemen in his first recruiting class. That’s encouraging long term.
It doesn’t necessarily help you against Miami in November. If Virginia Tech can get average-to-good offensive line play this season, I think the offense can surprise people. If the offensive line struggles, everything gets considerably more difficult.
Defense
This might be where Virginia Tech has its best chance to outperform expectations. Brent Pry knows defense. Now he gets to spend all of his time coaching it.
Virginia Tech has added a lot of experience in the secondary through the portal. Jordan Bass, Sherrod Covil Jr., Tyson Flowers and Isaiah Brown-Murray give Pry some experienced pieces to work with. Quentin Reddish also returns. The secondary should be pretty good.
The question is the front seven. Virginia Tech needs to get back to being disruptive defensively. I’m not expecting Bud Foster 1999 here. But Virginia Tech needs to pressure quarterbacks. They need to tackle better. They need to create negative plays. And they need to stop giving up the kind of ridiculous explosive plays that have killed them over the last several seasons.
This doesn’t need to be a Top 10 defense. If Pry can get this defense somewhere around the Top 30-40 nationally, Virginia Tech should win some football games.
The Roster
Franklin basically hit the reset button. This is going to look like a completely different football team. That makes Virginia Tech extremely difficult to predict. There is clearly more talent on the roster than there was at the end of last season. Franklin attacked the transfer portal and also signed a Top 30 recruiting class. The problem is that collecting talent and building a football team aren’t exactly the same thing. These guys have to play together. There are new quarterbacks, new linemen, new defensive backs and new coaches. That’s a lot of moving pieces. I would expect Virginia Tech to look considerably better in November than they do in September.
The good news is the schedule gives them some time to figure things out.
Non-Conference Schedule
Virginia Tech finally did something smart. They gave a new coach a reasonable non-conference schedule. The Hokies open against VMI in Lane Stadium at night. Virginia Tech should win that game comfortably.
Old Dominion comes to Blacksburg the following week. Virginia Tech should win that game too. We’ve seen enough weird things happen against ODU over the years that I’m never going to completely dismiss them, but Virginia Tech should have a significant talent advantage.
Then comes Maryland. This is the first game where we’ll actually learn something about this team. Going into College Park for a 7:30 game is a legitimate Power 4 road test. If Virginia Tech beats Maryland, there’s a pretty good chance the Hokies start 4-0. If they lose, it’s not the end of the world. But Maryland is the kind of team Virginia Tech needs to start beating again if they want to become nationally relevant.
ACC Outlook
The ACC schedule is interesting.
Virginia Tech opens conference play at Boston College before getting Pitt at home on a Friday night. Then things get tougher.
Tech travels across the country to play Cal, gets Georgia Tech at home and then goes to Clemson. After the bye, the Hokies travel to SMU, get Stanford at home, travel to Miami and finish with Virginia in Lane Stadium.
There aren’t many automatic wins in there. There also aren’t many games where I look at the schedule and think Virginia Tech has absolutely no chance. Clemson and Miami are obviously going to be difficult. SMU on the road won’t be easy.
But Pitt, Boston College, Cal, Georgia Tech, Stanford and Virginia all look like games Virginia Tech can win if the Hokies are competent.
That’s basically the story of this season. Be competent. For years Virginia Tech has found ways to lose games against teams with similar talent. Franklin was hired to stop that.
Key Players to Watch
QB Ethan Grunkemeyer
This is the obvious one. If Grunkemeyer is good, Virginia Tech could have a pretty good season. If he’s bad, it’s difficult to see Tech winning eight games.
WR Ayden Greene
Virginia Tech needs a legitimate No. 1 receiver. Greene has the talent to become that guy.
S Quentin Reddish
One of the most important returning players on the roster. Virginia Tech added a lot of pieces to the secondary but having an experienced returning player back there is huge.
The Entire Offensive Line
This might be the most important position group on the team. Virginia Tech hasn’t consistently controlled the line of scrimmage offensively in years. That needs to change.
What I’m Looking For
I’m not judging James Franklin’s first season exclusively by wins and losses. Obviously wins matter. But I want Virginia Tech to look like a well-coached football team again. I want fewer stupid penalties. I want better clock management. I want players to know where they’re supposed to be. I want Virginia Tech to stop finding increasingly creative ways to lose one-score football games. I want the Hokies to beat teams they’re supposed to beat. That sounds like a low bar. After the last few seasons, it isn’t. Franklin doesn’t need to win the ACC this year. He needs to make it obvious that Virginia Tech is heading in the right direction.
Tough Games (<40% chance to win)
at Clemson
This is probably the toughest game on the schedule. Winning in Death Valley is hard for everybody. Virginia Tech would need to play its best game of the season.
at Miami
Miami has been recruiting at a much higher level than Virginia Tech. Going to Hard Rock Stadium late in the season is going to be difficult.
at SMU
Friday night. On the road. Against one of the better programs in the ACC. Not ideal.
Toss-Up Games
at Maryland
This is our first real look at the Hokies.
Pitt
Friday night in Lane Stadium. This feels like exactly the kind of game Virginia Tech should win if Franklin has things moving in the right direction.
at Cal
Travel is weird. Cal is weird. ACC football is weird.
Georgia Tech
This could end up being one of the biggest games of the season.
Stanford
Virginia Tech should have the talent advantage, but I’m not ready to automatically put any ACC game in the win column.
Virginia
It’s Virginia. Virginia Tech could be 1-10 and I’d still convince myself they’re going to win this game.
Should Win Games (>60% chance to win)
VMI
If this isn’t a win, we have significantly bigger problems.
Old Dominion
No trips to Norfolk this time. Thank God.
at Boston College
Road conference games are never automatic, but this is one Virginia Tech needs to win.
Key Games
Maryland
This tells us how quickly Franklin has this thing moving.
Pitt
Friday night in Lane. Win this game.
Georgia Tech
This could be the difference between a six-win season and an eight-win season.
Virginia
Always.
Upset Alert
at Cal
Cal has a great QB and it’s a cross-country trip right in the thick of the schedule. I call these type of games a scheduled loss.
Game-by-Game Predictions
VMI — Win
Old Dominion — Win
at Maryland — Win
at Boston College — Win
Pitt — Win
at Cal — Loss
Georgia Tech — Win
at Clemson — Loss
at SMU — Loss
Stanford — Win
at Miami — Loss
Virginia — Win
Final Prediction
Virginia Tech: 8-4
That’s probably a little optimistic.
Virginia Tech has a real football coach again. There are enough winnable games on this schedule for Franklin to have a successful first season. The Hokies don’t have Clemson or Miami’s roster yet, but they shouldn’t need it to beat VMI, Old Dominion, Boston College, Pitt, Stanford and Virginia Get those six. Then beat two of Maryland, Cal, Georgia Tech and SMU. That’s eight wins. More importantly, I think Virginia Tech will actually look better at the end of the season than it does at the beginning.
That hasn’t always been the case around here. The long-term goal is obviously much bigger than 8-4. Virginia Tech didn’t make this investment to become a slightly better bowl team. The goal is to get back to Charlotte. Then get back into the Top 25. Then get back into the College Football Playoff conversation. That’s going to take some time. But for the first time in a while, I actually believe Virginia Tech has the head coach capable of getting them there.
Final Regular Season Record: 8-4
Expected ACC Finish: 5th-7th































